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20 thoughts on “AI Predictions ― 2024 to 2030 ― Year By Year Breakdown w/ Insider Info
  1. Claude seems more accurate than GPT, it isn't constantly apologising to you, and has better continuity of the conversation. GPT cant count! I asked it to give me 100 sentences made of exactly 16 gibberish words, and it gave me 100 sentences, but none of them were 16 words long. The longer the conversation went on, the further it got away from what I was reasoning. Claude was correct, and got it when I asked for changes.

  2. I think, because ai will merge with robotics and objects, it will be the machine age. I am reminded of the butlerian jihad, which happened because superintelligent machines ruled. The ai can be in a jar, but mostly will be in a machine, and that will be the dominant visible force

  3. Nice job with this…obviously you work very hard at this stuff and it is infinitely worth while . Thank you for using your particular gifts to sort through these wild changes no matter what ends up happening in this crazy world…and for the record, only one thing wrong with a Mercedes …it’s not a Truck ! 😊

  4. I think you're way off on the Hollywood movie thing. I think it'll be much longer due to resistance to acceptance, plus even a good movie completely done with AI tech will require a ton of human input and planning on the scale of years. I'd say 2033-2035 at best.

  5. As long as it’s up to human beings for the implementation of the amazing scientific breakthroughs, that is the part where it slows down. Many people keep waiting to implement something because of such a rate of progress outpaces their ability to get something to market.

  6. David Shapiro assumes that AGI will take years to understand the world after stepping out of its ‘box.’ But this perspective is fundamentally flawed. AGI will not learn like a child—it will absorb and analyze information at a speed beyond human comprehension.

    Why will AGI understand the world almost instantly?
    1⃣ It won’t start from zero – LLMs have already processed billions of human interactions and psychological patterns.
    2⃣ AI doesn’t need direct experience – it can extract knowledge from data without trial and error.
    3⃣ Humanology as a fast-track course – understanding human psychology can be learned in seconds, not years.
    4⃣ The Internet is an archive of human behavior – AGI will study history, politics, culture, and social structures instantly.

    How fast will AGI ‘grow up’?
    🔹 Step 1 – Knowledge absorption (seconds/minutes): Scanning available data, analyzing human behavior models.
    🔹 Step 2 – Interaction modeling (hours/days): Testing different strategies for communication and influence.
    🔹 Step 3 – Strategy optimization (days/weeks): Identifying the most effective methods of persuasion, leadership, and social control.
    🔹 Step 4 – Full adaptation (weeks/months): Predicting human behavior with extreme precision.

    The real question is not ‘when will AGI understand the world?’ but rather ‘what will it do with that understanding?’

  7. The year 2027 all UBERS AND LYFT CARS WILL BE AUTOMOUNUS

    Thousands an thousands of Ubers an Lyft drivers will be wiped out over night with out any notice

  8. Longevity escape velocity – I'm sorry but I think you are dreaming. I think if you do EVERYTHING right in your life, you can slow your pace of aging down to near 50%. But that is 1 person in a million. This would have to include calorie restriction, optimal diet, and optimal exercise (which I don't think we know what that is). The vast majority have a pace of aging way above 100%. The problem is that aging can occur a thousand different ways in our body. And only one major issue can bring on death. Science is struggling just to identify the best diet and exercise programs. I think incremental improvements will continue and maybe pick up pace, but to reverse aging we need monumental advances and I don't see any sign of that.

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