Tom Baranowicz
There is a lot of hype around GPT-3 recently, many demos went viral. Seeing those videos a lot of people might think that software developer jobs are at risk now… and I think that they are not, in this video I’m explaining why.
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don't worry guys, i still prefer real human work
at least for now
Will not. Thanks for watching.
TLDR: IT IS A LONG SHOT, BUT TOTALLY NOT INEVITABLE not even in the slightest, AND TOTALLY NOT VERY FAR, AND DEFINITELY WITHIN OUR LIFETIME : PROGRAMMING/SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT (and its jobs) WILL NOT GO AS PER SAY, BUT ITS VERY DEFINITION WILL CHANGE. (and so will other things computers)
Those thinking AI( in GPT-3 and near to come soon forms ) will not touch their jobs are totally misled, you are being a lil bit too optimistic and naive. However, this is not to prophesy of an apocalyptic future in Computer Engineering careers as all headlines AI, but rather an emphases that this will change everything, including us the very 'programmers'- will change. Remember there was a time someone said only 5 computers will be enough in this world. thing is, with this , unlike other AI play-toys, THIS IS A TOOL, there exist unlimited number of applications and with a proof of concept yet not entirely exhausted. The least that may occur is a total transformation of what development will entail. probably in 10 years tops prototypes will be done by AI and only final tweaking, touch-ups and customization done by developers or even end users in a rich interface: very probably end users in an even user friendlier interface. think of customizing your game controls in text description same for your keyboard shortcuts for your favorite IDE, and now think expanding that even further, this thing is limitless totally game changing. think of Adobe Sensei demos on Adobe Max shows, now think of such transformation in UI/UX in almost every app you use. think of such tools increasing productivity using mobile device (especially think of text formatting on mobile phone's word processors for 'normal users') and cloud-dependent devices. Unlike thinking in the soon outdated personal desktop experience. ………THINK CLOUD and you will see what i am talking about. And especially the lucrative opportunities around it, and lots of cash on it, BASICALLY FIRST, THINK CLOUD. (i mean THINK OF AUTOMATED DOCUMENTATION (talking about developers cant describe their work!! really???) we have evolving services being provided starting to revolve around just exact that )
Also, instead of denial, why not rather talk about the very possibility of it, total eradication of 'programming' or rather 'hired programming' as we know it, to user programmed rich clients. Coz it is inevitable anyway. You cant dispute that it will be there forever, 50 years tops, it either wont be there or will be totally transformed totally different from its origins. In less than 50 years, the Typewriter is obsolete, welding machines are now used by robots than humans, and most of all: Remember we are sharing time with a generation that never thought you could not program a computer with any simpler language than assembly (the very generation that invented programming and the languages themselves, remember C is only about 40 years old), and in fact even just assembly was at initially sneered to. Thing that happened, (fueled by the increased economical viability of everything programming) is that never in time have we had many programmers as we do now. Never has the average utilization of a computer in total and per unit person been as much as now, and that is just on the software we are not even catching up with hardware. It is a time to be alive, also one to be weary or excited, either way it may go totally good or bad, thing we can all agree on though is that it will be EXTREME and now that is the discussion. not good or bad, but rather how will we manage all that power wielded on us. Same transformation computer languages made it easy to utilize machines is the same i suppose AI( think of it a next step compiler rather than a play toy or mere translator) would give this power to even more people, and even much more to a few, just as is currently but more extreme. It is like the extreme productivity industrial revolution brought forward versus its increased wealth disparity it brought fourth fueling even more extreme capitalism.
I suppose the greatest talk about all this even (before even any philosophical question) is an economic one: is how we could make it possible for more and more humans to access such tools, avail a fair ground avail the utilities to make such possible such as affordable and economical electricity and internet all over the world, especially Africa. (Americans always have a shortsightedness problem to think the whole world is like america, simply bcz of the vastness of america itself, however there exist much potential to lead the future out of it probably than within it, and prolly this shortsightedness will be their downfall). Second is how will the education and training system adapt to the very near and proven different professional future, i mean this days we rarely go deep with assembly and prefer to teach more of data structures, similar should be done with now more emphasis on concept than implementation and UI/UX dezyn movement is just its start, yet it tends to be left out in mainstream curriculum. Because it has always been proven time to time, humans, when given power the unimaginable happens, and even more so when more and more of them are given so. And i suppose those not seeing this are close minded, shortsighted and naive. Such is a huge topic and a controversial one though I may not like to include here. Thing is technology is changing faster than other facets of life can catch up: political, educational, economic, moral, philosophical, cultural and more, AND THAT IS THE ONLY FEAR OF ALL THIS (not because of the ai though but rather the few with access to it) , that we may build a beast we may not be able to control, and probably will, only thing that is question is, if it will be on our side or not, and that is where i digress, I suppose it will. This is larger than the industrial revolution, this is AI.
You look like GPT-3 synthesized you just to keep us humans unalerted :))
If only we had a way to explicitly describe to GPT-3 what we want our program to do. Maybe english-like but very explicit so that it doesn't misinterpret what we're saying.
Oh…. wait, we do, it's called a programming language 😂