Marika Lamoreaux
Social psychology lecture on belief perseverance, negativity bias, and optimistic bias
Source
Social Cognition 4 erroneous thinking
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In your last example about averages. May it not be untrue in other situations? Let’s say the batting average of a high school softball team is .350. That does not mean than only one player has a .350 average? Maybe there are a few very high and many very low hitters and they average out to .350. You are correct to say that they all can’t be above (or below) the average. Am I missing something?